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SET and the City
The
financial community needs to be aware of the opportunities
available for wealth creation from science, engineering and
technology if it wants
to stay competitive in global markets
February 2007 |

Sir Peter Williams |
Gordon Brown is on record as
saying “Britain will only have a competitive edge if we develop
world leadership in the most technologically intensive and
science-based industries and services.”
Superb science and engineering are recognised widely as vital to
achieving a modern and competitive economy. But less attention is
paid to how technology-based industries can attract finance. In an
effort to fill that gap, the Engineering and Technology Board (ETB)
set up a group, under my chairmanship, to look at wealth creation
from science, engineering and technology (SET). The group was drawn
from venture capital, technology businesses, banking and, in our
second phase, we were joined by the CBI, EEF and Association of
British Insurers ABI, among others.
In our first report, we looked at the policy framework, including
tax incentives for investors, of which more later.
We developed some of these ideas on policy in our second report,
“SET and the City”, but our major focus was on how financial
institutions relate to SET-related businesses in the UK. For
achieving a high technology, competitive economy is far too
important a task to leave to government. It can do much to encourage
and discourage technology businesses and their investors, but the
private sector must lead, and that includes sources of finance as
well as sources of SET expertise and management.
With a 10-year plan and significant increases, in real terms, in
government funding across the whole of SET, the UK has every
opportunity to maintain its position as one of the world’s leading
nations in scientific research. I hope that a high level of public
funding is continued after the announcement of the comprehensive
spending review later in 2007.
This scientific renaissance is taking place within an economic
context where the UK, along with the US and some other economies,
has for a number of years enjoyed stable growth, modest levels of
unemployment and stable low interest rates. It is unsurprising
against this background that since the turbulence in the financial
markets at the end of the 1990s, the major global stock markets have
experienced a period of considerable gain and prosperity. Among
them, London remains one of the world’s pre-eminent financial
centres, perhaps the most important outside the US. The London Stock
Exchange as one of the world’s leading exchanges, is facilitating
the raising of capital and the trading of securities for companies
from 59 countries, and pre-eminent globally in trading in the world
and the source of Europe’s largest pool of liquidity. Currently,
there are 1,664 main market and 1,500 AIM companies quoted on their
markets, collectively worth over £4.4tr and having raised over £20bn
in 2005 alone.
Yet a paradox lies at the heart of this otherwise beneficial
geographical coincidence of scientific heritage and powerful capital
markets. The FTSE 100, the UK’s index of leading shares, contains
today at most 16 science, engineering and technology-based
companies, including, alongside biopharmaceuticals and engineering,
petrochemicals and other industries whose technology is core to
their business. The contribution of our much vaunted IT industries
to the national economy as a fraction of GDP is less than one 20th
of the corresponding figure in the US. It would appear that away
from bioscience and the defence and aerospace industry, the UK has
lost much of its ability to translate scientific leadership into
wealth creation.
The obvious contrast is with the US, where pension funds and
university endowments have been keen to fund technology businesses,
and have benefited accordingly from the huge returns available.
Analysts at Morgan Stanley have looked at what they call
“10-baggers”; a business whose stock price has increased by at least
1000% since its initial public offering IPO. Technology businesses
loom large in the list of 41 US businesses that have achieved this
feat since 1980. Microsoft comes first, naturally, with an increase,
as of the end of 2002, of over 35,000%, but the majority of the top
20 are technology businesses. Despite the excesses of the dot-com
era, the market value created by technology IPOs in the US increased
four-fold between 1994 and 2002.
But there is a further dimension to the UK paradox: the
opportunities today for the successful exploitation of scientific
knowledge have rarely, if ever, been greater. Our universities have
since the 1980s begun to match their research prowess with a greater
degree of commercial understanding and awareness. Patents are today
as much the outcome of good science as publications. Spin out
companies surround the campuses. The UK venture capital industry is
the most significant in Europe. All the ingredients are there to
achieve the goals articulated above. What we lack, however, despite
this note of optimism, is the clear evidence that we can grasp such
opportunities and turn them into the industries of the future.
So in what shape are relations between our great financial
institutions and SET-related businesses? A survey of technology
businesses we organised, with the help of the CBI and the
Engineering Employers’ Federation, suggests that there are two
distinct groups of technology businesses. One has good relations
with the financial community, the other feels much more isolated and
ill-served. We need to migrate more of the second group into the
first, at every stage from start-up to the FTSE 100. This is a task
for both technology businesses and the financial world; government
can also play a role. In particular technology businesses and
financial institutions need to work much harder at communicating
their concerns and needs. Better explanations of R&D spending and
innovation more generally can help. The new “Business Review” to be
introduced into companies’ reports and accounts (successor to the
Operating and Financing Review) will be an important tool for
businesses and investors.
Considering different forms of institution in more detail, private
equity is a major UK success story. But venture capital, compared
especially with the US industry, is still small in scale. We are
also concerned that in 2004, US pension funds were a larger source
for UK venture capital and private equity than their UK
counterparts. This is related to the active role US pension funds
play in funding their domestic venture capital industry, in sharp
contrast to UK pension funds. For UK venture capital, we do not
minimise the difficulties posed by poor returns in the technology
sector since 2000, though we are encouraged by recent signs of
improvement. UK pension funds, however, continue to be
under-resourced, both generally and in relation to managing a
venture capital portfolio. Early stage technology businesses clearly
need to deliver better performance, but we ask institutions to
consider whether they could move prudently to a more US model of
funding for venture capital.
For technology SMEs, banks remain the major source of external
financing, principally from loans and asset finance, demonstrated
amply by surveys from Warwick University and the Cambridge Centre
for Business Research. Relations have improved between banks and
SMEs generally since their nadir in the early 1990s recession, and
technology businesses have shared in that. But we believe the banks
could do more to address technology as a sector, recognising its
special characteristics and its importance to the UK economy.
The rise of institutional investors in UK equity markets after 1945
coincided with the shrinking of the UK’s industrial base. We are not
suggesting a causal relationship, and many factors played a role in
this history, but this history strengthens the case for
institutional investors to examine carefully their role in financing
technology businesses today. We are now strong in fewer industrial
sectors than we were two generations ago and despite the current
strength of our economy; we believe that we need to build on our
scientific and technological strengths to diversify into new
markets.
What policy tools could government use to encourage a US-style
relationship between the financial world and SET-related investors?
Our group has a number of proposals.
First, given the long-term evidence for a funding gap between early
stage and venture capital investment in emerging businesses, the
government should review with considerable urgency the EIS
legislation with a view to simplifying it considerably, in time for
the 2007 Budget. It should also consider other measures to address
this chronic deficiency in the market.
Second, the government should examine possible taxation incentives
for institutional investment in venture capital, particularly by
using a technology VCT for institutions by government, tailored to
the respective circumstances of pension funds and insurance
companies, in time for the 2007 Budget. By a “technology VCT” we
mean an incentive, modelled on venture capital trusts for individual
investors, but aimed at institutional investors and restricted to
technology investments.
Third, we ask for the chancellor to consider supercharged VCTs –
with additional income tax reliefs compared with current VCTs but
stripped of capital gains additional reliefs, aimed at encouraging
charities, either on their own account, or by channelling
individuals’ funds, to invest in early stage technology companies,
including those partly owned by universities.
Fourth, the government should review the openness of public
procurement to early stage and SME technology businesses. Two
proposals to be considered are firstly, the UK departmental targets
for awarding R&D should be raised to make them far more stretching,
with at least 10% of contracts by value being awarded to technology
SMEs; secondly, a UK small business administration-style set-aside
scheme should be introduced, with 20% of contracts by value going to
SMEs; in both cases either directly or through the supplier chain.
It is vital that any changes as a result of such a review be
introduced with some urgency and that their effectiveness should be
demonstrated transparently.
Finally, the government should enhance the activities of the DTI’s
Technology Strategy Board and re-examine its relationship to the
Council for Science and Technology. We believe that there is a clear
case for greatly increased public investment in this sector. I very
much support the line of argument on this in the recent report by
the CBI and QinetiQ on public procurement.
The private sector can also take independent action. We recommend a
number of steps that we believe could help, including:
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We invited the member
institutions within the ABI, National Association of Pension
Funds and others, while not diminishing their duty of care to
their clients, to re-examine their vital central role in the
development of the industries of the future, recognising their
broader impact on the shape of the UK economy as a whole.
Without such recognition, we see little prospect of the private
sector matching government’s commitment to the technology
sector, an imbalance which will ultimately reflect on national
competitiveness.
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We encourage industry
groups, trade bodies and government to examine ways of
supporting the efforts of the London Stock Exchange in the
long-term development of techMARK as a flagship, quoted company
community of technologically innovative companies and at the
same time encourage non-techMARK member companies to apply to
join the community.
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We recommend that the
CBI and EEF consider further opportunities to improve the
elements of an effective communications programme between
technology businesses and institutions within the capital
markets, as there is little indication at present of any deep
mutual understanding.
Of course all these efforts
would fall on deaf ears, and deservedly so, if there were not
returns available for investors to reap. But I believe they are
available. Dr Mike Tubbs, for example, has looked at the companies
that score highly on the DTI R&D scoreboard and their share price
performance. He has identified an R&D portfolio of equal investments
in 12 of these businesses that increased, in value, overall, by 91%
in the period August 2004-November 2006, compared with a 41.2%
increase for the FTSE 100. So a screening for R&D may well yield
fine returns. It takes hard work and perseverance, but the
opportunities are out there. Remember those US pension funds,
searching for UK technology VC investments.
............................................................................................................
Sir Peter Williams, former chairman,
The Engineering and Technology Board, tel: +44 (0)20 7240 7333 |